The Serious Flaws of the Academies’ Report on Weather Modification Research
AbstractThe Report “Critical Issues in Weather Modification Research” by the National Research Council of the National Academies (the Report, in short) stresses lack of physical understanding as the reason for rejecting all success claims in modification (involving convective clouds). This conclusion is reached without realizing that statistics provides the only scientific tool to link the physics of clouds to the interference of seeding; it weighs the quality of the basic physical hypotheses underlying the seeding. Yet statistics, the cornerstone in the assessment of weather modification experiments, is not even discussed in the bulk of the Report. The faults in the Executive Summary are easily spotted. The main body of the Report, however, is well written and its even bigger flaws are hidden in beautiful prose. The main failings of the Report will be described below.
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